Well Link Research | August 12th: Unemployment Relief Application Data Rescues the Downturn
2024-08-12
The following article is sourced from: Hong Kong Soros (pseudonym)
Edited by: Well Link International Securities
Market Overview
Technical: SPX and NDX rebound from panic, formed a potential bear flag. SPX corrected around 8% from peak which still within normal correction range.
Long-term structure equity bull market still in play. However, short-term range bouncing is expected ahead of US election. It’s a no easy money market.
Sentiment: Extreme fear.
Market Breadth: improved from oversold to neutral.
Macro: Jobless claims data supports strong US economy.
Stocks:
SVXY – short volatility ETF provides good risk/reward and volatility
Recession hedge pair – Short HYG against Long LQD rebounded to good level to re-entry.
Risk on & rate cut pair – Short GLD against Long SLV provides good upside if there is a liquidity bull market in risk assets.